Whos Winning Election 2024. Trump, at 51.8%, stands 8.1 percentage points ahead of harris, who trails at 43.7%, according to data from fivethirtyeight. As well as an average of the polls, you can also see historic polling data for mr biden and mr trump, more recent polling since ms harris.

Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Live 2024 presidential election results, maps and electoral votes by state.